Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.016570 0.018290 0.020026 0.021906 0.023880 0.025887 0.028078
2025-07-06 0.012584 0.015167 0.017895 0.020967 0.024310 0.027821 0.031766
2025-07-13 0.010888 0.013989 0.017367 0.021273 0.025623 0.030278 0.035600
2025-07-20 0.009346 0.012763 0.016597 0.021136 0.026289 0.031893 0.038388
2025-07-27 0.008090 0.011722 0.015911 0.020978 0.026829 0.033280 0.040844
2025-08-03 0.007448 0.011334 0.015920 0.021558 0.028154 0.035503 0.044191
2025-08-10 0.006502 0.010487 0.015312 0.021357 0.028531 0.036611 0.046249
2025-08-17 0.005650 0.009682 0.014696 0.021093 0.028789 0.037546 0.048076
2025-08-24 0.004967 0.009038 0.014230 0.020969 0.029177 0.038602 0.050019
2025-08-31 0.004322 0.008388 0.013714 0.020745 0.029416 0.039462 0.051714
2025-09-07 0.003806 0.007870 0.013334 0.020663 0.029802 0.040474 0.053570
2025-09-14 0.003219 0.007195 0.012705 0.020233 0.029737 0.040934 0.054764
2025-09-21 0.002596 0.006430 0.011956 0.019676 0.029567 0.041339 0.055992
2025-09-28 0.001944 0.005535 0.010975 0.018788 0.028973 0.041240 0.056642
2025-10-05 0.001701 0.005291 0.010898 0.019077 0.029845 0.042898 0.059364
2025-10-12 0.001387 0.004868 0.010527 0.018947 0.030166 0.043873 0.061262
2025-10-19 0.001113 0.004469 0.010160 0.018798 0.030445 0.044784 0.063073
2025-10-26 0.001010 0.004402 0.010297 0.019344 0.031623 0.046801 0.066217
2025-11-02 0.000788 0.004029 0.009924 0.019155 0.031826 0.047602 0.067884
2025-11-09 0.000592 0.003657 0.009524 0.018907 0.031935 0.048274 0.069386
2025-11-16 0.000446 0.003363 0.009228 0.018790 0.032208 0.049142 0.071120
2025-11-23 0.000315 0.003054 0.008880 0.018580 0.032342 0.049828 0.072624
2025-11-30 0.000222 0.002812 0.008630 0.018502 0.032646 0.050721 0.074378